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Data was collected from several sources. GISS used Thomas Smith and Richard Reynolds’ satellite analysis of global sea surface temperatures J. R. Richard Astros Jersey , which they collected for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. GISS also used its own research regarding global average temperatures.
GISS conducted research from 1951 to 1980 for baseline research and found that during that time frame, the global average surface air temperature was .79 degrees above the global mean. As the study approached 2008, it found that most of the globe was either normal or warmer. Eurasia, the Arctic Carlos Lee Astros Jersey , and the Antarctic Peninsula were especially warm. The study also found that the Pacific Ocean region was much cooler. This area of cooling materialized due to La Niña.
La Niña is produced by relatively low temperatures in the tropical Pacific. In 2008, La Niña conditions were strong in the first half of the year, which led to the cooling. While La Niña is a cooling phase, El Niño is a warming phase that produces the opposite effect and follows La Niña after a year or so. The two occurrences are both a part of the natural oscillation of equatorial Pacific Ocean temperatures.
In 2008 Roy Oswalt Astros Jersey , the United States’ temperatures were almost the same as they were in the baseline research, which led climatologists to conclude that it was cooler than previous years, as there had previously been a heating trend. While this is something to consider, the United States in only a small part of the study Mike Scott Astros Jersey , and the entire earth’s temperature must be considered.
James Hansen, the director of GISS, predicted that a new global surface air temperature record would be set despite the cooling effect that was produced in 2008. He suspected this because it was widely thought that 2010 would bring the next El Niño. Since the sun was passing though solar minimum, it was transmitting a small amount of radiant energy toward Earth all year round. While his predictions were founded in science Jose Cruz Astros Jersey , it turns out that Hansen’s forecast was not completely accurate, as a strong El Niño has not occurred since 1998. The scientific community now predicts .